Ambrose Evans-Pritchard doubts China will surpass U.S. GDP in this century. Now that’s a long view, quite contrary to conventional wisdom. Note his use of the term “economic power”
Doubts are growing about whether China can pass the US to become the world’s biggest economy this century amid warnings that the country’s 30-year miracle is nearing exhaustion. … As of last year US GDP was roughly $15.7 trillion, compared to $8 trillion for China on a nominal exchange rate basis, the measure that matters for gauging economic power.